Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?

50%
chance of Yes
50¢
Yes
50¢
No
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Description
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Freedom Movement (GS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
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