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Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

OpenScience
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?
Science14d 12h

50%

chance of Yes

50¢

Yes

50¢

No

$226K volume2,464 traders14d 12h

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Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Oracle ResolutionUMA Oracle

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Market Info

CategoryScience
End DateMar 31, 2026
Time Left14d 12h
Volume$226K
Traders2,464

Resolution Info

ModeAuto Oracle
ResolvesMar 31, 2026