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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

OpenPolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Politics21mo

50%

chance of Yes

50¢

Yes

50¢

No

$0 volume0 traders21mo

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Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Oracle ResolutionUMA Oracle

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Market Info

CategoryPolitics
End DateDec 31, 2027
Time Left21mo
Volume$0
Traders0

Resolution Info

ModeAuto Oracle
ResolvesDec 31, 2027