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Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?

OpenPolitics
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
PoliticsEnded

50%

chance of Yes

50¢

Yes

50¢

No

$0 volume0 tradersEnded

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Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control. Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Oracle ResolutionUMA Oracle

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Market Info

CategoryPolitics
End DateMar 31, 2026
Time LeftEnded
Volume$0
Traders0

Resolution Info

ModeAuto Oracle
ResolvesMar 31, 2026